Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Gardner | 37 | 6-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. McFarland | 33 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Woodard | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Simmons | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Walker | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| S. Creason | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Nigon | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| F. Clayman | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Cohen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Kemp | 32 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 21 | - |
| J. McGee | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Fields | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| M. Cooke | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Ellis | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lynch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Carp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter