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2007-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 94.2% 5.8% -
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -3 (49-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClellan 40 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 3 0 12 10 -
J. Hill 38 6-12 0-0 4-7 19 1 1 0 4 16 21 -
N. Wise 36 3-9 2-5 1-3 4 7 2 0 4 9 9 -
J. Bayless 33 2-10 2-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 4 8 0 -
C. Budinger 31 2-10 1-7 1-2 8 1 0 1 3 6 3 -
J. Horne 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
D. Dillon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Brielmaier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rougeau 36 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 1 9 9 -
C. Terry 35 2-12 1-8 1-2 2 4 2 1 3 6 0 -
W. Adams 34 7-16 3-5 2-2 8 4 4 0 1 19 18 -
J. Darger 33 4-14 1-5 4-4 4 2 1 0 0 13 6 -
C. Bailey 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Lawrence 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
K. Wallace 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Rutledge 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Shaw 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Roberson 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter