Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 38 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| G. Carr | 33 | 9-19 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 10 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 28 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| F. Borden | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Nichols | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Motnii | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Simon | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Lay | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Luptak | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Penny | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Guibunda | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 34 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| M. Johnson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Wright | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Binnie | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Little | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Warren | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Cordeiro | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Sandoval | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Perry | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter