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2007-12-19

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 12.4% 87.6% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 (9.4 off)
Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +7 (63-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 38 4-13 1-3 0-1 3 3 0 0 2 9 0 -
G. Carr 33 9-19 7-14 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 26 10 -
B. Gilmore 28 2-7 1-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
F. Borden 20 1-5 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 5 1 -
J. Nichols 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 2 8 -
C. Motnii 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
B. Simon 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Lay 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Luptak 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Penny 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Guibunda 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 34 4-13 3-7 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 12 2 -
M. Johnson 28 1-6 0-2 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
C. Wright 24 3-6 0-1 0-1 7 1 2 1 4 6 7 -
J. Binnie 22 1-4 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
K. Huelsman 22 2-4 0-0 1-3 11 0 0 0 3 5 9 -
C. Little 21 2-5 0-0 5-10 3 2 1 0 2 9 8 -
L. Warren 16 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 5 7 -
T. Cordeiro 13 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 11 10 -
A. Sandoval 10 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
M. Perry 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter