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2007-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 34.8% 65.2% +3.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 78.1% 21.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rose 33 7-12 5-8 7-10 4 6 1 0 5 26 20 -
R. Dozier 32 3-9 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
A. Anderson 27 3-6 3-6 3-6 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
J. Dorsey 25 2-5 0-0 4-10 7 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 20 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
W. Kemp 17 1-3 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Mack 14 2-4 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
A. Allen 14 3-7 2-5 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 9 4 -
S. Taggart 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
J. Robinson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Warren 37 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 6 8 -
D. Vaughn 34 8-13 2-3 2-2 5 3 2 0 1 20 16 -
A. Hrycaniuk 33 3-9 1-2 6-8 5 3 1 0 3 13 10 -
R. Bishop 28 3-6 2-3 1-4 7 3 2 0 2 9 13 -
J. Williamson 20 3-7 0-0 7-11 3 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
M. Sikes 17 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
A. Mitchell 16 0-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 -1 -
K. Belton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Davis 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Wilks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. McClain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter