Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.