Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.4% | 26.6% | -5.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 40 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 18 | - |
| J. Meeks | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| M. Porter | 33 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Bradley | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Carter | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Stewart | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Harris | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Coury | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Mills | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Perry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dowell | 40 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| R. McKiver | 37 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Lewis | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Smith | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Malone | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Pane | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| N. Mosley | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Toney | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Y. Moukoury | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter