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2007-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% -
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 40 9-18 2-7 8-9 6 4 1 1 4 28 18 -
J. Meeks 35 7-14 4-9 3-7 5 1 1 0 3 21 11 -
M. Porter 33 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 6 0 -
R. Bradley 26 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 0 4 -
J. Carter 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 6 -
A.J. Stewart 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 4 -
R. Harris 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Coury 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
P. Stevenson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
D. Mills 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Perry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dowell 40 5-12 3-6 6-6 9 1 0 2 1 19 18 -
R. McKiver 37 4-11 3-5 7-9 4 0 2 0 1 18 12 -
K. Lewis 35 2-6 1-4 3-3 5 2 1 0 1 8 9 -
L. Smith 31 2-10 1-4 6-8 0 8 0 0 3 11 6 -
M. Malone 20 2-8 2-6 3-4 3 2 4 0 1 9 9 -
B. Pane 11 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
N. Mosley 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
T. Toney 9 3-6 0-1 3-5 8 0 0 0 1 9 10 -
Y. Moukoury 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Nixon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter