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2007-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 12.5% 87.5% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 34 5-8 5-8 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 15 13 -
C. Taylor 32 4-10 4-6 3-3 2 5 1 0 3 15 10 -
P. Friesen 26 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 4 1 0 3 1 6 -
D. Mbunga 25 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 2 1 2 2 6 8 -
B. Howard 24 6-8 3-4 1-3 6 0 2 0 3 16 13 -
J. Hennessy 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Zamora 20 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
M. Davis 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
B. Johnson 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 38 6-9 3-5 2-3 2 0 1 1 0 17 12 -
J. Harden 36 6-11 0-0 5-8 2 7 5 0 1 17 19 -
T. Abbott 35 4-11 1-6 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
J. Ayres 32 6-10 0-0 4-7 13 1 0 1 1 16 20 -
D. Glasser 31 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. Polk 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McMillan 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Boateng 8 1-1 0-0 0-3 1 0 1 0 3 2 0 -
R. Kuksiks 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter