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2007-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +11 (60-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 37 7-12 0-0 1-2 3 1 4 0 1 15 10 -
R. Staudacher 35 3-9 3-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 9 3 -
J. Hasquet 30 3-10 1-3 1-4 7 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Rundles 27 3-10 1-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 4 10 0 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 18 0-2 0-1 0-1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Sharp 18 2-6 1-2 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 7 6 -
M. Martin 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Qvale 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Spurgetis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Vanderjagt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Graves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Henke 35 3-6 0-1 2-2 4 2 2 0 4 8 6 -
B. Angley 35 4-9 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 4 10 8 -
C. Johnson 32 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
J. Bryant 28 4-11 0-0 6-8 12 1 0 4 1 14 19 -
B. Dowdell 20 4-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 2 0 0 10 11 -
A. Zimmermann 19 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 4 0 0 0 4 7 -
C. Latimer 9 1-1 1-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 2 4 6 -
Z. Tiedeman 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Gunderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Lamar 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
O. Mbanugo 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter