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2007-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 36 9-16 4-9 6-6 3 2 2 1 2 28 18 -
T. Ito 34 1-8 1-5 2-2 1 6 2 0 0 5 6 -
S. Watson 27 3-6 0-1 2-3 5 1 0 0 6 8 2 -
K. Knutson 27 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
L. Sikma 25 3-7 1-3 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
R. Smeulders 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
E. Niedermeyer 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
J. Stohl 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Hannibal 6 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
W. Thompson 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Carter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams 34 7-9 1-2 1-1 10 2 1 0 0 16 20 -
G. Gibson 29 1-3 1-3 6-6 1 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
T. Gross 25 4-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 11 9 -
B. Moore 24 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 3 1 5 9 -
A. DeLeon 22 4-9 1-3 5-5 1 5 2 0 4 14 9 -
M. Hinton 22 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
M. Stanojevic 22 5-12 5-10 3-4 2 3 2 0 2 18 11 -
M. Brunell 22 2-4 1-2 0-2 4 2 0 1 1 5 7 -

* = starter