Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +7 (98-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Tomlinson | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. Smith | 0 | 8-18 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| M. Cowles | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Benavente | 0 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Shaughnessy | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Donaghe | 0 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| A. Harp | 0 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| E. Porshneva | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Campbell | 0 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 26 | - |
| H. Bates | 0 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
* = starter