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2007-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars North Texas Mean Green Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% -
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.2 (6.8 off)

Actual: North Texas Mean Green +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Williams 28 1-11 1-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 -3 -
S. Wiley 26 5-8 3-6 2-4 6 2 1 0 4 15 12 -
J. Holliday 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -2 -
C. Ekweozor 22 1-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 1 0 3 4 -
D. Scott 21 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
B. Honore 20 3-8 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 7 2 -
J. Ingram 20 4-8 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 9 -1 -
J. Jack 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 3 5 -
G. Guillory 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 4 -
B. White 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

North Texas Mean Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bell 29 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 12 9 -
D. Willingham 26 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
H. Stewart 23 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 1 3 5 -
A. McCoy 22 4-10 1-5 0-0 5 4 2 1 2 9 9 -
C. Dennis 20 6-8 3-5 1-2 4 1 2 0 4 16 11 -
T. Thompson 20 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
Q. Williams 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 2 3 10 10 -
K. Wooden 15 5-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 10 11 -
K. Hogans 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -
J. Howerton 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
R. Horne 4 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Montague Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter