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2007-12-17

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina A&T Aggies Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 2.3% 97.7% -
Bradley-Terry 6.6% 93.4% -
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +23.0 (5.0 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +28 (94-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina A&T Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Rush 34 4-13 1-5 5-6 2 3 2 0 5 14 3 -
A. Ewing 28 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
T. Chaplin 23 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
J. Wills 22 2-7 0-1 4-5 9 1 0 1 5 8 7 -
E. Jones 21 3-7 1-3 2-3 6 1 2 0 2 9 9 -
T. Coleman 20 3-3 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 2 2 10 12 -
A. Hernandez 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 4 5 -
J. Porter 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Alston 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
N. Wilson 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Nelson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
P. Gregg 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lawrence 25 3-11 2-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 8 4 -
D. Carroll 24 7-12 0-0 8-11 12 1 2 2 1 22 26 -
S. Hannah 23 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 8 2 0 3 9 10 -
J. Horton 23 0-4 0-2 4-4 1 2 3 0 1 4 5 -
L. Lyons 22 6-9 0-1 3-3 5 1 1 0 2 15 11 -
K. Lawrence 22 2-9 2-5 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 9 4 -
J.T. Tiller 17 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 3 3 0 0 8 11 -
M. Brown 17 4-8 3-4 2-2 2 2 1 2 2 13 10 -
V. Volkus 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
D. Butterfield 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Safford 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Anderson Jr. 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Berardini 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter