Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sprink | 40 | 11-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| K. Kina | 37 | 3-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -4 | - |
| C. Harris | 34 | 8-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 7 | - |
| R. Garcia | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Veazey | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Teague | 17 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Topercer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Richards | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Brooks | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| K. Spain | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| B. White | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Davis | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter