Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 37 | 2-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Noel | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Taylor | 28 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 11 | - |
| T. Davis | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Cartwright | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Billings | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Young | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Yotio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kemp | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 16 | - |
| B. Fields | 37 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 14 | - |
| J. McGee | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 25 | - |
| A. Johnson | 35 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Johnson | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Cooke | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Ellis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter