Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +10 (57-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lampley | 40 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Goins | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Stovall | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Perry | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Giles | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. McLemore | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Frazier | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Twyman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Morgan | 37 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| R. Wedel | 32 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Y. Chia-Kur | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| I. Koggu | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| A. Farmer | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Gant | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Nutt | 14 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Lance | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Keaton | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter