Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -22 (71-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 31 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| T. Lawson | 30 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| W. Ellington | 29 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Thompson | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Frasor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Inman | 36 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Farmer | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Chandler | 27 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 5-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 10 | - |
| E. Pettis | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| H. Ndiaye | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| B. Joynes | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Griffin | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| M. Coburn | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Nelson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Sofman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Rigoglioso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Askew | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Genfi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter