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Louisville Cardinals 59
@
Purdue Boilermakers 67
2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - ✗

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Clark 39 0-7 0-4 2-2 13 1 2 2 2 2 11 -
J. Smith 37 3-9 0-4 7-8 1 3 2 1 3 13 8 -
T. Williams 35 6-11 2-3 3-7 9 1 2 0 4 17 14 -
E. Sosa 31 4-15 2-7 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 11 2 -
W. Scott 25 4-10 2-7 0-0 3 0 3 0 2 10 4 -
A. McGee 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Knowles 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
T. Farley 4 0-1 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Chichester 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Grant 32 4-7 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 12 10 -
C. Kramer 30 5-8 1-3 3-5 3 4 4 0 1 14 16 -
R. Hummel 29 3-6 1-2 8-10 5 3 0 2 1 15 18 -
E. Moore 24 0-5 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
T. Crump 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 6 4 -
S. Martin 22 3-6 0-1 5-8 3 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
J. Johnson 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
N. Calasan 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Green 11 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 2 0 2 4 5 -

* = starter