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2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% -
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% -

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rich 39 7-14 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 17 6 -
T. Douglas 36 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 4 3 0 3 12 9 -
R. Mims 34 5-14 2-6 4-5 7 1 2 0 2 16 10 -
I. Swann 28 3-8 0-3 0-0 0 4 3 0 1 6 4 -
U. Echefu 28 2-7 0-1 3-3 12 2 1 1 5 7 11 -
J. DeMercy 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 3 2 3 -
J. Vaughn 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
S. Alabi 7 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
B. Hoff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. O'Donnell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Graves 37 8-18 7-16 2-2 3 2 2 0 4 25 10 -
D. Streicher 34 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 4 0 1 7 5 -
J. Betko 32 2-3 2-3 2-5 3 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
M. Green 31 5-10 0-1 10-11 6 3 0 0 5 20 14 -
W. Veasley 23 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 2 2 5 5 -
M. Howard 22 3-4 0-0 5-7 4 2 1 1 1 11 14 -
S. Vanzant 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 -
Z. Hahn 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter