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2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.7% 92.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.3% 85.7% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 36 7-14 3-7 6-7 3 2 0 1 2 23 13 -
T. Ito 34 4-11 2-6 3-4 3 3 4 0 5 13 7 -
L. Sikma 29 2-5 0-2 2-4 7 4 0 0 2 6 10 -
K. Knutson 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
R. Smeulders 20 0-6 0-2 0-1 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Watson 20 2-5 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 3 6 2 -
M. Carter 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
J. Stohl 10 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hannibal 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 31 3-6 0-0 5-10 5 0 0 0 3 11 7 -
T. Morris 30 4-7 0-1 2-3 8 1 2 0 1 10 13 -
R. Appleby 27 7-14 4-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 18 6 -
J. Smith 24 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 3 1 2 0 3 9 -
A. Wallace 22 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
Q. Pondexter 21 3-6 0-2 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
V. Overton 18 0-1 0-1 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 6 3 -
J. Dentmon 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -

* = starter