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2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Toledo Rockets UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 (4.1 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson 39 7-12 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 18 8 -
T. Kent 39 5-21 1-10 2-4 12 4 2 0 4 13 6 -
J. Amos 35 7-12 1-3 3-4 5 1 4 0 6 18 10 -
C. Bingham 27 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Young 23 2-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
A. Byrd 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 1 1 0 3 -
M. Lo 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Anyijong 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 37 5-12 1-5 6-8 1 2 2 0 2 17 8 -
C. Lowe 37 2-5 1-2 6-8 2 7 4 0 5 11 14 -
G. Forbes 36 6-10 2-4 11-12 6 2 1 0 3 25 21 -
E. Brower 25 0-2 0-2 1-2 7 1 1 2 1 1 9 -
T. Gaffney 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
D. Milligan 19 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 2 1 2 5 -
L. Bonner 10 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 3 -
P. Lo 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 2 4 -
G. Correia 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Glass 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Groebe 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter