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2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (8.0 off)
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +10 (66-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Grasmick 31 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
A. Johnson 29 5-7 2-4 3-3 4 2 0 0 2 15 12 -
T. Johns 29 0-13 0-8 2-2 3 2 3 0 4 2 -7 -
T. Blakley 24 2-7 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 4 5 -2 -
D. Bragg 23 4-6 2-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 10 8 -
C. Brown 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 0 1 6 5 -
D. Hall 15 1-7 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
R. Robinson 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
D. Lee 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
R. Brown 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Clark 33 6-12 2-5 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 15 9 -
M. Hanson 29 6-8 1-1 1-3 8 0 1 0 2 14 13 -
D. Whiten 27 1-10 1-5 2-2 3 2 3 0 1 5 2 -
T. Shelton 27 2-4 0-0 3-6 8 1 3 1 3 7 13 -
C. Thomas 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 8 9 -
D. Vance 21 3-7 0-1 1-1 7 0 1 2 2 7 8 -
L. Keeler 19 3-9 2-6 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 10 5 -
C. Anderson 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Lewis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Manley 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter