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2007-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% -
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -5 (51-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 37 4-14 2-9 4-5 2 3 1 0 3 14 3 -
A. Emmenecker 33 0-2 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 0 3 1 8 -
J. Cox 32 3-9 1-2 3-4 10 1 0 0 1 10 11 -
L. Houston 31 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
K. Korver 31 3-10 2-9 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
B. Heemskerk 17 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 2 7 -
J. Hall 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
J. Parker 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 -
J. Baryenbruch 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 36 3-9 2-8 0-0 4 3 0 2 3 8 5 -
J. Cole 32 6-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 12 7 -
J. Peterson 31 3-6 1-3 0-0 5 5 1 0 3 7 9 -
J. Kelly 29 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 8 5 -
K. Looby 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 0 2 9 -
T. Freeman 22 3-14 3-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 9 -5 -
S. Gorney 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
J.R. Angle 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Tate 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Palmer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter