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2007-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.2% 75.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.9% 67.1% -
Log Adjusted 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 35 11-22 5-10 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 29 10 -
J. Dews 33 3-9 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 5 -
B. Asbury 32 2-7 0-2 4-4 6 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
J. Graham 27 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 1 4 7 -
A. King 26 2-11 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
D. Collins 16 2-5 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
L. Hurdle 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Hicks 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
E. Rios 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon 38 7-19 1-5 3-5 9 5 0 0 6 18 7 -
B. Stewart 37 6-12 5-9 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 18 11 -
C. Rhodes 35 4-12 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 1 1 10 6 -
B. Hansbrough 33 0-8 0-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Varnado 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 10 0 8 20 -
B. Johnson 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 2 4 -
R. Benock 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Turner 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter