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2007-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 84.5% 15.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 75.3% 24.7% -
Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% -

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -6 (85-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Neltner 38 3-7 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 0 3 8 9 -
S. Foster 38 6-10 5-9 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 19 14 -
A. Gordon 29 2-6 0-3 5-6 5 4 1 0 2 9 11 -
A.J. Ogilvy 27 9-15 0-0 1-5 9 2 1 0 3 19 13 -
J. Beal 25 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 2 7 -
A. Metcalfe 21 7-10 3-4 1-2 6 2 1 1 5 18 13 -
K. Bell 20 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 8 0 0 0 12 14 -
A. Walker 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
G. Drake 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. McClellan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Burns 41 10-25 2-9 2-2 7 4 2 0 3 24 9 -
M. Koshwal 40 8-15 0-2 5-7 7 2 2 2 2 21 17 -
K. Clarke 38 6-11 1-4 2-5 6 5 3 1 0 15 19 -
C. Clinkscales 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
W. Green 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 5 2 2 0 4 12 -
M. Poscic 22 2-5 1-2 3-4 4 2 0 3 0 8 12 -
J. Currie 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 3 3 -
D. Tucker 13 4-9 0-3 0-3 1 0 2 0 0 8 2 -
D. Naughton 0 6-12 3-7 1-2 3 5 3 0 0 16 15 -
C. Smith 0 2-5 0-1 0-2 7 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
A. Quigley 0 9-16 3-6 2-2 5 3 1 0 0 23 16 -
M. Mitidiero 0 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Brown 0 4-6 0-0 1-3 10 1 2 0 0 9 16 -

* = starter