Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (32.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +34 (85-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 32 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| D. Whiten | 22 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Hanson | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Vance | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Keeler | 16 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -9 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Manley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Higgins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Henning | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Landry | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 24 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| M. Johnson | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Jones | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Geiser | 13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Larson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Bishop | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Sharp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Wohner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter