Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +6 (82-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 34 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Howard | 26 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Durham | 25 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| P. Friesen | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Zamora | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fields | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Kemp | 28 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. McGee | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Cooke | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Ellis | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Lynch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter