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2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Goucher Gophers UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 9.8% 90.2% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +47.2 (2.2 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers +45 (82-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Goucher Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Boswell II 30 5-13 3-7 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 14 2 -
C. Brown 20 2-8 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
M. Cotton 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 6 1 -
P. Bailey 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 0 -
N. DeSouza 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 -
T. Merritt 18 1-3 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
I. Brown 13 1-5 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Hakim 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Negron 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Brandon 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Gladden 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
C. Martin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Comstock 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Esbrandt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Schaerr 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
M. Perry 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Whitaker 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene 30 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 8 1 1 1 11 15 -
R. Barbosa 27 9-15 5-9 4-5 6 1 2 0 0 27 21 -
B. Hodges 26 7-14 3-6 3-4 7 4 4 1 0 20 22 -
D. Proctor 25 5-13 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 0 1 11 7 -
M. Spadafora 24 2-6 2-3 1-2 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
U. Eshietedoho 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 0 5 -
J. Fry 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 3 6 -
F. McKnight 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
T. Massey 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Adkins 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter