Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn | 32 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Williamson | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Warren | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Hrycaniuk | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Gentry | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Sikes | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Wilks | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Bishop | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. McClain | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 38 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| B. Richardson | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Dyer | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| A. Slack | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Holloway | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Vandello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Holtz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Sampay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter