Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✗ (27.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +15 (70-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.