Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Suton | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Neitzel | 32 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| R. Morgan | 31 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Naymick | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Walton | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Lucas | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Summers | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Allen | 7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| I. Ibok | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Murdock | 38 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Burgess | 35 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 31 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| L. Cummard | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Collinsworth | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Fredette | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| V. Ivanovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Miles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter