Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +24 (73-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holliday | 27 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Honore | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 25 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| G. Guillory | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Wiley | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Scott | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Ekweozor | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Byars | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jack | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Ingram | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McKiver | 34 | 5-16 | 3-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Dowell | 30 | 8-15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| T. Toney | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Lewis | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Smith | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Pane | 17 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| N. Mosley | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Y. Moukoury | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Malone | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. McGloster | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Hatcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter