Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +4 (58-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilson | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Martin | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Iati | 25 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Connelly | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| B. Lillis | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Covington | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Hastings | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Gifford | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Ambrose | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Moores | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Turley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Fereti | 40 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Lee | 40 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Carter | 36 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | - |
| T. Benson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Relph | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Eleby | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Haley | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| M. Morgan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter