Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +28 (95-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Grady | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Udoh | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Harris | 28 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Sims | 26 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| R. Coleman | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Lee | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Morris | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Shepherd | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Z. Gibson | 12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Merritt | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wright | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Block | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Henderson | 28 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Nelson | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| G. Paulus | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. King | 20 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| N. Smith | 20 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Singler | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Thomas | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. McClure | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Davidson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter