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2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 88.7% 11.3% -
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 67.5% 32.5% -
Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 28 6-12 2-5 1-2 2 1 0 2 3 15 5 -
K. Grant 27 4-10 1-4 4-6 2 2 2 0 2 13 7 -
T. Crump 26 0-7 0-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 1 -4 -
C. Kramer 25 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 8 8 -
J. Johnson 23 4-8 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 1 1 9 11 -
M. Green 21 2-5 0-3 1-2 4 1 2 0 3 5 4 -
R. Hummel 21 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 4 1 1 2 5 9 -
N. Calasan 15 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
S. Martin 14 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hannah 27 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 9 3 -
J. Horton 26 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
L. Lyons 25 5-9 0-0 3-3 10 2 3 1 4 13 16 -
K. Lawrence 25 3-8 1-2 4-6 3 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
M. Lawrence 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
D. Carroll 21 2-5 0-0 3-6 1 2 1 3 1 7 8 -
J.T. Tiller 21 5-9 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 12 9 -
D. Butterfield 19 1-2 0-1 4-6 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
V. Volkus 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
M. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter