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Dayton Flyers 70
@
Louisville Cardinals 65
2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% - ✗
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 ✗ (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - ✗
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - ✗

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Roberts 37 10-17 2-6 6-6 5 3 0 0 0 28 19 -
C. Wright 28 3-9 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 0 2 9 8 -
K. Huelsman 27 1-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
J. Binnie 26 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
M. Johnson 22 1-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
C. Little 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Warren 17 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 4 0 2 4 5 -
A. Sandoval 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
T. Cordeiro 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 40 4-11 1-4 2-2 9 3 2 0 3 11 11 -
E. Clark 36 7-15 1-3 0-0 12 2 1 4 3 15 16 -
D. Caracter 27 6-10 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 2 5 16 11 -
J. Smith 27 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 3 3 -
E. Sosa 20 3-8 2-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
A. McGee 20 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
T. Farley 13 0-0 0-0 1-5 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 -
P. Knowles 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
W. Scott 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter