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2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (6.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Murray State Racers +2 (56-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stallworth 31 1-4 1-4 4-4 4 0 1 0 1 7 7 -
N. Stojakovic 31 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 3 0 3 -
L. Buchanan 25 4-5 0-0 5-6 4 0 1 1 1 13 13 -
J. Steward 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 3 0 3 6 2 -
C. Brown 22 1-4 1-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Lamb 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Harper 19 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 4 0 -8 -
K. Faried 17 2-10 0-0 5-6 11 0 0 1 0 9 11 -
L. Simmons 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
A. Coleman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Holloway 25 4-6 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
D. Thomas 25 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 7 5 -
B. Carter 24 6-7 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 13 12 -
T. Easley 23 4-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
J. Long 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
R. George 20 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 8 3 -
M. Williams 20 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 0 2 6 -
K. Thomas 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 7 0 0 1 3 8 -
G. Fotso 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Sanders 6 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
P. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Key 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter