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2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 56.0% 44.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 37 4-15 1-6 1-3 2 2 1 0 2 10 -2 -
P. Patterson 36 6-9 0-0 3-5 5 2 0 0 5 15 8 -
P. Stevenson 26 3-5 0-0 4-4 6 2 1 0 2 10 12 -
R. Harris 25 2-6 1-3 0-1 8 2 0 1 2 5 8 -
R. Bradley 23 2-5 1-4 0-1 1 0 1 1 2 5 1 -
M. Porter 21 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -3 -
A.J. Stewart 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -2 -
M. Coury 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Perry 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 39 5-10 3-5 7-10 2 2 2 0 3 20 13 -
L. Stemler 36 1-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
J. Ellis 35 4-8 1-2 3-5 5 5 2 0 2 12 14 -
D.J. White 29 6-11 0-0 4-4 13 1 0 2 5 16 16 -
M. White 29 1-4 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
D. Thomas 22 5-10 0-0 1-5 5 0 1 0 3 11 4 -
B. McGee 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
E. Holman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Taber 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ahlfeld 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter