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2007-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Loyola Marymount Lions Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 3.5% 96.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 6.0% 94.0% - โœ—
Margin 1.5% 98.5% +22.9 โœ— (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 5.4% 94.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 12.1% 87.9% - โœ—

Actual: Boise State Broncos -2 (74-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Diederichs 30 6-10 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 1 14 10 -
O. Johnson 28 6-13 2-5 2-4 11 6 0 0 0 16 20 -
C. Counts 28 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 9 9 -
M. Deric 24 3-8 1-2 3-3 6 0 0 2 4 10 6 -
J. Ziri 22 5-8 1-1 2-3 1 4 4 0 0 13 14 -
M. Maynard 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 2 5 4 -
Q. Turner 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Craig 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
B. Walker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Larry 36 7-11 0-2 7-10 12 4 1 1 2 21 26 -
M. Nelson 35 7-14 0-0 6-8 11 0 0 0 0 20 17 -
T. Tiedeman 35 3-11 3-8 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 9 2 -
A. Thomas 29 4-8 0-0 3-3 2 3 3 0 2 11 9 -
M. Bauscher 22 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Greene 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 6 1 -
S. Rouse 10 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Noonan 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
K. Cunningham 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Garner 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Sanchez 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter