Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mills | 38 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Simpson | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Golden | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| O. Samhan | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Walker | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Hughes | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Y. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 31 | 1-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Williams | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. White | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Spain | 21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter