Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -14 (59-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Tarver | 34 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. Tarver | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Claitt | 29 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Carter | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Stovall | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Schaftenaar | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Haynes | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Wallace | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Hampton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 32 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| V. Oliver | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| S. Hanson | 30 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Clark | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Silva | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| D. Carter | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Portz | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Calegari | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Boone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter