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2007-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 30.9% 69.1% -
Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 34 2-4 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Sikma 32 2-6 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 4 0 4 15 -
S. Watson 31 2-7 0-1 2-3 2 6 0 0 1 6 6 -
N. Raivio 30 7-13 2-3 1-1 8 1 0 0 3 17 10 -
K. Knutson 24 5-8 0-0 0-4 3 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
J. Hannibal 13 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Stohl 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
E. Niedermeyer 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
R. Smeulders 9 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
W. Thompson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Carter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Staudacher 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 6 -
A. Strait 30 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 0 10 12 -
M. Martin 30 3-10 3-7 2-2 3 5 0 1 1 11 9 -
J. Hasquet 28 5-12 0-2 5-6 8 0 0 0 2 15 9 -
C. Rundles 27 2-12 2-8 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 7 -1 -
C. Elgin-Taylor 26 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Qvale 17 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 6 8 -
K. Sharp 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
G. Spurgetis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter