Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.8% | 16.2% | -9.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -9 (74-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Terry | 33 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| W. Adams | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| J. Darger | 26 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Shaw | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Bailey | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| L. Roberson | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Rutledge | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Wilson | 29 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| N. Geiser | 27 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| K. Landry | 27 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Larson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Jones | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Sharp | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Bishop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter