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Iowa Hawkeyes 62
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 55
2007-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 74.8% 25.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% - ✓
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✗
Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 55.2% 44.8% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 38 5-10 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 13 5 -
J. Kelly 38 6-13 3-5 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 19 11 -
T. Freeman 24 5-7 3-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 15 9 -
J.R. Angle 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 3 4 -
C. Tate 20 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
S. Gorney 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
J. Cole 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
K. Looby 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 0 6 -
D. Palmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dunham 34 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 3 0 2 5 2 -
J. Josten 34 2-6 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 6 1 -
A. Koch 33 3-8 0-2 2-4 5 3 2 0 3 8 7 -
T. Brown 26 3-6 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 7 4 -
E. Coleman 20 3-6 0-0 7-13 5 1 0 2 0 13 15 -
A. Viet 20 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
J. Eglseder 19 3-5 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 3 0 8 10 -
L. O'Rear 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Montgomery 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter