Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.