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2007-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 88.9% 11.1% -
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (13.9 off)

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -14 (65-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 30 9-11 3-5 8-10 6 1 0 0 1 29 24 -
J. Armstrong 29 5-8 0-1 2-5 4 2 1 1 2 12 10 -
B. Loscalzo 29 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 9 14 -
N. Scott 27 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 0 1 -
M. Montgomery 24 4-5 1-2 4-4 7 3 3 0 4 13 17 -
B. Nwachukwu 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 0 -
J. Bova 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 4 -
K.J. Matsui 13 3-6 3-4 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 12 9 -
K. Bulger 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -5 -
J. Miller 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Porter 38 7-14 6-10 5-10 0 8 2 0 2 25 19 -
J. Mundweiler 35 5-10 3-6 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 14 7 -
J. Smith 33 4-9 0-2 3-5 3 3 1 1 0 11 10 -
D. Vinson 29 4-12 0-0 0-2 11 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
J. Ulrich 22 0-1 0-0 0-1 5 2 1 0 0 0 7 -
L. Radford 16 3-8 0-2 1-3 4 0 0 1 1 7 3 -
J. Drummond 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Spiller 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elwell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Orock 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Harris 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter