Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +21 (71-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
| Model | Mercer Bears | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +21 (71-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.