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2007-12-04

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +4 (62-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 41 3-11 0-3 4-5 6 5 3 1 3 10 11 -
O.J. Mayo 41 6-20 1-4 3-3 4 3 2 0 2 16 3 -
D. Jefferson 40 3-11 0-0 6-6 13 0 1 1 6 12 10 -
D. Lewis 36 4-9 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 2 9 3 -
T. Gibson 32 2-12 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 4 5 5 2 -
A. Johnson 22 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
R. Cromwell 8 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
K. Cunningham 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Wilkinson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rose 39 3-9 0-1 3-5 10 4 3 1 5 9 13 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 37 4-13 0-2 2-3 7 2 2 0 4 10 4 -
R. Dozier 36 6-15 0-2 1-4 8 2 1 1 5 13 5 -
J. Dorsey 29 3-3 0-0 0-2 9 2 1 4 2 6 17 -
S. Taggart 24 2-5 2-3 1-2 5 0 0 5 0 7 12 -
A. Anderson 23 3-7 0-3 0-2 2 1 3 0 2 6 3 -
W. Kemp 21 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 3 -
A. Allen 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Mack 6 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter