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2007-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 84.0% 16.0% -
Bradley-Terry 84.5% 15.5% -
Margin 91.9% 8.1% -13.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -5 (61-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel 37 4-16 2-7 3-4 4 5 1 0 1 13 6 -
G. Suton 30 3-7 0-0 0-1 11 1 1 1 4 6 9 -
T. Walton 28 0-5 0-0 1-2 2 5 1 0 2 1 2 -
R. Morgan 26 3-7 0-0 9-11 7 2 1 0 3 15 15 -
K. Lucas 21 5-7 1-2 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 13 9 -
M. Gray 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 10 8 -
D. Naymick 20 2-3 0-0 0-1 10 0 0 1 2 4 10 -
C. Allen 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Summers 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 3 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crouch 39 5-14 3-7 0-0 5 2 4 0 1 13 9 -
D. Ruffin 39 6-17 3-10 2-2 2 5 1 0 2 17 6 -
T. Wilson 33 2-4 1-2 4-4 3 1 2 0 1 9 10 -
S. Maniscalco 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 3 1 -
M. Salley 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 2 2 7 11 -
A. Warren 18 1-4 0-1 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
D. Collins 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
S. Singh 7 0-0 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
W. Egolf 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
T. Cole-Scott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter