Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (59-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cunningham | 35 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Scott | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Soto | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Diggs | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Barlow | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Bekono | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Gates | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Visman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Jim-George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| L. Wade | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 27 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 25 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Davis | 23 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| B. White | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter