Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.3% | 39.7% | -2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Carter | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Payne | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| V. Oliver | 34 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| S. Hanson | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| C. Portz | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Clark | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Calegari | 11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Silva | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boone | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Barnett | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Mosley | 33 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Ball | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Ware | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Graeber | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Powers | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Mathis | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Pride | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Sanders | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter